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References
- N.V. Danilova Evaluation of the influence of climate change on the productivity of millet in the central part of Ukraine
- Polevoy A. N., Bozhko L. E., Barsukova E. A. Impact of climat changes on agro-climatic indices of the vegetative period of main agricultural crops
- Polevoy А.N., Shabliy O.V. Radiation-and-temperature resources of the steppe zone in Ukraine under the climate change conditions in the period of up to 2050
- Danilova, N.V. Assessment of changes of agro-climatic conditions for cultivation of millet in the southern regions of Ukraine resulted from climate change
- V. Khokhlov, N. Yermolenko Future climate change and it’s impact on precipitation and temperature in Ukraine
- M.E. Daus, N.S. Loboda Main tendencies of climate factors changes within Kuyalnik Liman drainage basin
- Polevoy A., Bozko L., Dronova E, Borovska G.O. The change of parameters of the thermal regime of air in Ukraine for the period until 2030
- Polevoy A., Bozko L., Dronova E., Borovskaya G. Major trends in agro-climatic conditions of winter wheat growing in the Ukrainian part of the sub-basin of the Danube Delta
- Polevoy A., Bozhko L., Barsukova E., Dronova E. Agro-climatic conditions for growing spring barley in the Ukrainian part of the sub-basin of the Danube Delta in a changing climate
- A.N.Polevoy, L E. Bozhko, E.A. Dronova Trend analysis of thermal indicators of agroclimatic recourses in Ukraine for the period up to 2030 – 2040ys.
Papers
Climate change is a change of climatic conditions in the global atmosphere and on the Earth in general (or within its individual zones or territories) caused directly or indirectly due by the human activity on the planet, which are overlaid on the natural climatic variations (fluctuations) and observed during comparable periods of time.
Both the climate of Ukraine and the global climate are changing, but warming within our territory progresses even faster than in other regions of the Northern Hemisphere.
Ukraine in general and southern regions in particular are becoming increasingly vulnerable to climate change – droughts, extremely high temperatures, inefficient precipitation, reduced irrigated area cause of precipitation amount and regime, severer and more long-lasting droughts, reduced water availability.
The majority of arable land in Ukraine are located in zones of unstable and insufficient humidity, it is quite possible that for plant growing, especially for growing winter crops and early spring crops, climate change will rather have a positive effect than negative one.
Among the main types of cereals millet is the most common one. It is valuable for its groats, which is known by its high eating quality.
Millet as a fast-growing crop having a certain agrotechnical importance: it is used as a backup crop for re-sowing dead winter crops and is suitable for stubble and post-harvest sowing, it also can be used as a cover culture for perennial grass.
Millet is one of the most drought-resistant and heat-resistant crops. It is able to withstand heat injuries which is very important in arid areas and during dry years, when other grain crops have reduced yield. Millet suffers less from pests and diseases than other crops.
The task was to evaluate the agro-climatic conditions of millet crops formation in the central part of Ukraine under conditions of climate change. The study of the impact of climate change on the formation of millet productivity for different time intervals was performed by comparing the data of the RCP scenario and the average long-term climatic and agro-climatic parameters. The influence of agroclimatic conditions on the dynamics of increase of agroecological yield of different levels is also assessed.
- Adamenko, T.I., Kulbida, M.I., Prokopenko, A.L. (Eds). (2011). Ahroklimatychnyi dovidnyk po terytorii Ukrainy [Agroclimatic reference book for territories of Ukraine]. Kamianets-Podilsk. (in Ukr.)
- Adamenko, T.I. (2014). Ahroklimatychne zonuvannia terytorii Ukrainy z vrakhuvanniam zminy klimatu [Agro-climatic zoning of Ukraine taking into account climate change]. Kyiv: VEGO «MAMA-86». (in Ukr.)
- Ivani Zhuzhanna. (October 2015). Pidvyshchennia stiikosti do zminy klimatu silskohospodarskoho sektoru Pivdnia Ukrainy [Increased resistance to climate change agricultural sector of the South Ukraine]. Sentendre, Hungary. (in Ukr.)
- Stepanenko, S.M., Pol’ovyi, A.M., Demianiuk, O.S., Dronova, O.O. (2014). [Changes in the precipitation regime in Ukraine]. Ahroekoloh. ž. [Agroecolog. J.], 02, 10-16. (in Ukr.)
- Pol’ovyi, A.M. (2012). Otsinka vplyvu zmin klimatu na zminy ahroklimatychnykh resursiv Luhanskoho rehionu, umovy rostu ta produktyvnist silskohospodarskykh kultur i pryrodnoi roslynnosti. Rekomendatsii shchodo adaptatsii do tsykh zmin [Assessing the impact of climate change on changes in agro-climatic resources of Lugansk region, the conditions of growth and productivity of crops and natural vegetation. Recommendation to adapt to these changest]. Odesa. (in Ukr.)
- Detlef, P. Van Vuuren. (2014). Representative Concentration Pathways. Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving.
- Sultan, B., Roudier, P., Quirion, P., Alhassane, A., Muller, B., Dingkuhn, M. et al. (2013). Assessing climate change impacts on sorghum and millet yields in the Sudanian and Sahelian savannas of West Africa. Enviroment Research Leters, 8(1). DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014040
- Uvirkaa Akumaga, Aondover Tarhule, Claudio Piani, Bouba Traore, Ado A. Yusuf. (2018). Utilizing Process-Based Modeling to Assess the Impact of Climate Change on Crop Yields and Adaptation Options in the Niger River Basin, West Africa. Agronomy, 8(2). DOI:10.3390/agronomy8020011
- Sandeep, V.M., Bapuji, B., Bharathi, G., Pramod, P., Chowdary, P.S., Patel, N.R., Vijaya Kumar, P. (2017). Projecting future changes in water requirement of grain sorghum in India. Journal of Agrometeorology, 19(3), 217-225.
- Gao1, Y., Fu, J.S., Drake, J.B., Lamarque, J.F., Liu, Y. (2013). The impact of emission and climate change on ozone in the United States under representative concentration pathways (RCPs). Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 607-621.
- Jacob, D., Van den Hurk, B.JJ.M., Andre, U., Elgered, G., Fortelius, C., Graham, L.P. et al. (2001). A comprehensive model intercomparison study investigating the water budget during the BALTEX-PIDCAP period. Meteor. Atm., 77, 61-73.
- Polevoy, A.N. (1983). Teoriya i raschet produktivnosti sel’skokhozyaystvennykh kul’tur [Theory and calculation of the productivity of agricultural cultures]. Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat. (in Russ.)
- Tarko, A.M. (2005). Antropogennye izmeneniya global’nykh biosfernykh protsessov [Anthropogenic changes of global biosphere processes]. Moscow: FIZMATLIT. (in Russ.)
- Pol’ovyi, A.M. (2007). Modeliuvannia hidrometeorolohichnoho rezhymu ta produktyvnosti ahroekosystem [Modeling of hydrometeorological regimes and agro-ecosystems’ productivity]. Kyiv: KNT. (in Ukr.)
Article in question investigates indicators of the moisture-temperature regime for the period of 1986 – 2005 (base period) and compares them to their expected changes calculated for different scenarios of climate change GFDL-30 %, A1B, A2, RCP4,5 and RCP8,5 for the period of 2021 – 2050 on the territory of Ukraine. Calculations reviled that most abrupt changes in moisturetemperature indicators in different soil-climatic zones of Ukraine can be expected in case of scenarios GFDL-30 %, А1В and А2. In case of scenarios of climate change RСР4,5, RСР8,5 thermal indicators are expected to be at the level of multilevel averages in all natural and climatic zones of Ukraine, except for Southern Steppe, where they are expected to grow. The greatest changes in all areas are expected under scenario GFDL-30 %, and they will increase from north to south. Under scenario А1В the greatest difference between calculated values and average multi-year values will be observed in the Forest-Steppe zone and in the Southern Steppe. Under scenarios RCP4,5 и RCP8,5 significant changes in the temperature regime are predicted only for the south and east of Ukraine. At the same time, according to the scenario of RCP4.5, a significant increase in seasonal winter air temperatures is forecasted.
Analysis of the results of calculations for different climatic scenarios of water availability indicators for different natural and climatic zones of Ukraine for the period from 2021 to 2050 reviled that the most drastic changes in the climatic parameters of humidification are expected in the case of the scenarios GFDL-30 %, A1B and A2. In case of climate change scenarios RCP4.5, RCP8.5, no quick changes in the distribution of precipitation over the territory of Ukraine should be expected. The greatest amount of precipitation for the year and in average for the seasons of the year is projected for the western regions of the country, the least one – for the southern regions. At the same time, for most regions the trend to increase the amount of precipitation is most likely in the case of the development of the GFDL-30 %, A1B and A2 scenarios. However, according to the scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, rainfall is expected to decline for the year as a whole and especially in the summer season in comparison with the actual for 1986 – 2005.
- Adamenko T. I., Kul’bida M. I., Prokopenko A. L. (Eds). Ahroklimatychnyy dovidnyk po terytoriiy Ukraiyny [An agroclimatic reference book on territories of Ukraine]. Kamyanets-Podilsk, 2011. 107 p.
- Stepanenko S. M., Pol’ovyy A. M. Otsinka vplyvu klimatychnykh zmin na haluzi ekonomiky Ukrainy [An estimation of influence of climatic changes on industry of economy of Ukraine]. Odessa: Ekolohiya, 2011. 694 p.
- Israhel Ya, Antokhin Ya etc. Consequences of climate change for Russia. Sostoyanie i kompleksnyy monitoring prirodnoy sredy i klimata. Predely izmeneniy [The State and complex monitoring of natural environment and climate. Limits of changes]. Moscow: Nauka, 2001, pp. 40-64. (In Russian)
- Krakovs’ka S. V., Palamarchuk L. V., Shedemenko I. P., Dyukel’ G. O., Gnatyuk N. V. Nauk. pratsi UkrNDGMIProc. UkrSRHMI, 2008, no. 257. pр. 42-60. (In Ukrainian)
- Loginov V. F. Prichiny i sledstviya klimaticheskikh izmeneniy [Causes and effects of climatic changes].
Minsk: Navuka i tekhnika, 1992. 230 p. - Semenov S. M. (Ed.). Metody otsenki posledstviy izmeneniya klimata dlya fizicheskikh i biologicheskikh sistem [Methods of estimation of consequences of change of climate for fisical and biological systems]. Moscow, 2012. 511 p.
- Polevoy A. N. Teoriya i raschet produktivnosti sel’skokhozyaystvennykh kul’tur [Theory and calculation of
the productivity of agricultural cultures]. Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1983. 175 p. - Pol’ovyy A. M. Sil’s’kohospodars’ka meteorolohija [Agricultural meteorology]. Odessa. «TES», 2012. 635 p.
- Tarko A. M. Antropogennye izmeneniya global’nykh biosfernykh protsessov [Anthropogenic changes of global biosphere processes]. Moscow: FYZMATLYT, 2005. 231 p.
- Vasyl’chenko V. V., Rashchun M. V., Trohymova I. V. Ukraina ta global’nyy parnykovyy efekt. Knyha 2. Vrazlyvist’ i adaptatsiya ekolohichnykh ta ekonomichnykh system do zminy klimatu [Ukraine and global hotbed effect. Book 2. Impressionability and adaptation of the ecological and economic systems to the change of climate]. Kyiv: Agency for Rational Energy Use and Ecology, 1998. 208 p.
- Christensen J. H., B. Hewitson, A. Busuioc, A. Chen, X. Gao, I. Held, R. Jones, R. K. Kolli, W.-T. Kwon, R. Laprise, V. Magaña Rueda, L. Mearns, C. G. Menéndez, J. Räisänen, A. Rinke, A. Sarr, P. Whetton. Regional Climate Projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of WG I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 2007. 94 p. (Eds: Solomon S. D., Qin M., Manning Z., Chen M., Mar-quis K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H. L. Miller ).
- Jacob D., B. JJ .M. Van den Hurk, U. Andre, G. Elgered, C. Fortelius, L. P. Graham, S. D. Jackson, U. Karstens, Chr. Kopken, R. Lindau, R. Podzun, B. Rockel, F. Rubel, B. H. Sass, R. N. B. Smith, X. Yang. A comprehensive model inter-comparison study investigating the water budget during the BALTEX-PIDCAP period. Meteor. Atm., 2001, no. 77, pp. 61-73.
- Roeckner E., K. Arpe, L. Bengtsson, M. Cristoph, M. Claussen, L. Dumenil, M. Esch, U. Schlese, U. Schulzweida. The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM4: Model description and simulation of present-day climate. Max-Planck-Institute fur Meteorologie, Report. 1996, no. 218.
Indices of the radiation-and-temperature regime in the Steppe zone of Ukraine in the period of 1986 through 2005, as compared to the expected changes in these indices, calculated in accordance with the two climate change scenarios, RCP4,5 and RCP8,5, for the period of up to 2050, are under consideration in the paper. RCP4,5 is a scenario of stabilization of greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere, while RCP8.5 is the one of very high greenhouse gas emissions. To characterize the radiation and thermal resources in the Steppe zone of Ukraine in the period of 1986 through 2005 (the basic period), and the change in the period of 2021 through 2050 calculations of average long-term values for the first group of environmental factors were performed: the duration of day-time, the total daily solar radiation, the intensity of photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), the accumulated PAR, the radiation balance of the vegetation cover, and the temperature regime. The following principal agroclimatic characteristics of the temperature regime were considered: dates of stable rise of the air temperature above 0, 5, 10, 15 °C in spring and autumn, duration of the period with air temperatures above 0, 5, 10, 15 °C, the accumulated positive air temperatures for the period with air temperatures above 0, 5, 10, 15 °C, the average air temperature in January and July, and the amplitude.
It is pointed out that in the period of up to 2050, according to the calculations in both scenarios, increased indices of the radiation-and-temperature regime will be observed. The values of the radiation regime parameters will predominantly increase in late summer and early autumn. As a result of the inflow of increased accumulated solar radiation, the accumulated temperatures in the period with air temperatures above 5 °C will also rise. The expected increase in the accumulated temperatures will nevertheless not exceed 200 °C. A rise in the total temperature will contribute to better heat supply for the crops.
- Stepanenko S. M., Pol’ovyy A. M. (Eds). Otsinka vplyvu klimatychnykh zmin na haluzi ekonomiky Ukrayiny [Assessment of impact of climate change on industries in Ukraine]. Odessa: «Ekolohiya» Publ., 2011. 694 p.
- Stepanenko S. M., Pol’ovyy A. M. (Eds). Klimatychni zminy ta yikh vplyv na sfery ekonomiky Ukrayiny [Climate change and its impact on sectors of the economy in Ukraine]. Odessa: «TES» Publ., 2015. 520 p.
- Budyko M. I. Izrayel Yu. A. (Eds). Antropogennye izmeneniya klimata [Anthropogenic climate change]. Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1987. 405 p.
- Voloshchuk V. M. Basic regularities of current global warming on the territory of Ukraine and its environmental impacts. Ukrayina ta hlobal’ni protsesy: heohrafichnyy vymir [Ukraine and global processes: the geographical dimension]. Kyyiv – Lutsk, 1998, vol. 3, pp. 202 – 208.
- Kotlyakov V. M. (Ed.). Global’nye i regional’nye izme-neniya klimata i ikh prirodnye I sotsial’no-ekonomicheskie posledstviya [Global and regional climate change and its environmental and socioeconomic impacts]. Moscow: «Geos», 2000. 262 p.
- Hrebenyuk N., Korzh T., Yatsenko А. Vodne hospodarstvo Ukrayiny – Water industry of Ukraine, 2002, no. 5-6, pp. 56-62.
- Tooming Kh. G. Solnechnaya radiatsiya I formirovanie urozhaya [Solar radiation and the crop formation]. Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1977. 200 p.
- Budagovskiy A. I., Rоss Yu. K. Fundamentals of quantitative theory of photosynthetic activity of crops. V rnige: Fotosinteziruyushchie sistemy vysokoy produktivnosti [In book: Photosynthetic high productivity system]. Moscow: Nauka, 1966. pp. 51 – 58.
- Polevoy A. N. Prikladnoye modelirovaniye i prognozirovanie produktivnosti posevov [Application modeling and forecasting of crop productivity]. Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1988. 318 p.
- Pol’ovyy A. M. Sil’s’kohospodars’ka meteorolohiya [Agricultural Meteorology]. Odessa: «TES» Publ., 2012. 628 p.
The signals of global warming are now being observed throughout the world. Data of hydrometeorological centres show a significant increase of temperature in many regions accompanied by intense frequency of dry periods. Some substantial and direct effects of climate change may be already noticed at present time. Over the next several decades they will be observed in agriculture. Increase of temperature and reduction of precipitation volumes will probably lead to decrease the level of yield. These changes can significantly affect the global food security. Ukraine is known for its fertile soil and agricultural products, so it has a huge agricultural potential, contributing, in fact, to the global food security. However, the observed weather changes, increase of average temperature and uneven distribution of rainfalls can result in sharp transformation of most of agricultural and climatic zones of Ukraine. According to international processes there is an urgent need for improvement of adaptation to climate change of some branches of national economy of Ukraine, including of agriculture.
Expanding the range of types of millet used in agricultural production is an economically feasible process that should be implemented in view of significant climate changes resulting in global warming which is widely discussed in scientific literature. Rapid introduction in crop shifts of the millet that is able to withstand recurring periodic droughts, especially in the southern regions, is one of the ways allowing to overcome the consequences of such extreme conditions.
Conditions of the southern regions are favourable for millet crop. Millet is one of the most drought-resistant and heat-resistant crops that can sustain heat injuries and seizures and this is very important for arid areas during dry years, when other crops significantly reduce the level of yield.
We studied changes of agro-climatic resources and agro-climatic conditions for formation of millet productivity for various periods of time. The analysis of climate change trend was performed through comparing of data as per climatic scenarios A2 and A1B and of average long-term characteristics of climatic and agro-climatic indicators. The comparative description of millet productivity under the conditions of climate change as per average long-term data (1986-2005) and as per scenarios A2 and A1B of climate change (2011-2030 and 2031-2050) was also performed.
- Adamenko T.I., Kul’bida M.I., Prokopenko A.L. (Eds). Ahroklimatychnyy dovidnyk po terytorii’ Ukrai’ny [An agroclimatic reference book for territories of Ukraine]. Kamyanets-Podilsk, 2011. 107 p.
- Zinchenko O.I., Salatenko V.N, Bilonozhko M.A. Roslynnytstvo [Crop]. Kiev: Agricultural education, 2001. 291 p.
- Ivani Zhuzhanna. Pidvyshchennya stiykosti do zminy klimatu sil’s’kohospodars’koho sektoru Pivdnya Ukrayiny [Increased resistance to climate change agricultural sector of the South Ukraine]. Sentendre, Hungary, October, 2015, pр. 5-7.
- Korzun O.S., Anokhina T.A., Kadyrov R.M., Kravtsov S.V. Vozdelyvanie prosovidnykh kyl’tur v Respublike Belarus’ [The cultivation of millet crops in the Republic of Belarus]. Grodno: GGAU, 2011, p. 6.
- Pol’ovyy A.M. Otsinka vplyvu zmin klimatu na zminy ahroklimatychnykh resursiv Luhans’koho rehionu, umovy rostu ta produktyvnist’ sil’s’kohospodars’kykh kul’tur i pryrodnoyi roslynnosti. Rekomendatsiyi shchodo adaptatsiyi do tsykh zmin [Assessing the impact of climate change on changes in agroclimatic resources of Lugansk region, the conditions of growth and productivity of crops and natural vegetation. Recommendation to adapt to these changes]. Odessa, 2012. 7 p.
- Prosvirkina A.G. Agrometeorologicheskie usloviya i produktivnost’ prosa [Agrometeorological conditions and productivity of millet]. Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1987, рp.15-23.
- Stepanenko S.M., Pol’ovyy A.M., Demianiuk O.S., Dronova O.O. Zminy rezhymu opadiv v Ukrayini [Changes in the precipitation regime in Ukraine]. Kiev, 2014. 10 p.
- Strizhova F.M., Tsareva L.E., Titov Yu.N. Rastenievodstvo [Crop]. Barnaul: ASAU Publ., 2008. 79-87p.
Global climate change has provoked an active development in modern methods relating to the prediction of spatiotemporal hydrometeorological fields. Numerical modeling of nearest-future climatic changes allows to generate strategies of development for different areas of economic activity. The paper aims to assess the expected air temperature and precipitation features in Ukraine considering different scenarios of climatic change. The modeling future changes of air temperature and precipitation were carried out using the A1B and A2 scenarios of climatic change. The outcomes of regional climate model ECHAM5 from ENSEMBLES Project were used as initial data. It was revealed that the air temperature will gradually increase in most of Ukrainian regions. Moreover highest air temperature will be recorded in South-ern Ukraine during 2031–2050. The analysis of linear trends for 2031–2050 showed that the air temperature for the scenario A1B will exhibit a tendency to the decrease of temperature. However, the annually mean temperature in 2031–2050 for the ‘moderate’ scenario A1B will be higher than for the ‘hard’, in terms of greenhouse gases concentrations, scenario A2. The annual precipitation in Ukraine, both for the A1B and A2 scenario, will slightly increase toward the 2050 with the exception of Southern Ukraine. Also, the highest annual precipitation will be registered in the western part of Ukraine, and lowest – in the southern one. The paper can be expanded to the analysis of future dangerous weather phenomena depending on the changes of air temperature and precipitation.
- Оцінка впливу кліматичних змін на галузі економіки України / [Степаненко С.М., Польовий А.М., Школьний Є.П. та ін.]; за ред. С.М. Степаненка, А.М. Польового. – О.: Еколо-гія, 2011. – 696 с.
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Problem. Global climate changes, which are observed over the last decades, influencing the formation of modern hydrological regime of the Kuyalnik Liman. In the paper for the detection of major trends of these changes the natural climatic factors (temperature, precipitation) are evaluated.
The purpose of investigation is assessment of changes in major climatic factors of flow formation, namely precipitation and air temperature for the year, warm and cold periods on the basis of meteorological stations data within the catchment the Kuyalnik Liman and adjacent areas during the period 1900-2012.
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The comparative characteristics of the thermal regime of the air in Ukraine for the period until 2030 years are considered. Early onset dates transition temperature at 0, 5, 10 and 15 C in the spring is expecting. Later in the fall, the overall increase in average temperature, total temperature and their amplitudes.
- Агрокліматичний довідник по території України. /За ред. Т.І. Адаменко, М.І. Кульбіди, А.Л. Прокопенко. – Кам’янець-Подільськ: 2011. – 107 с.
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- Україна та глобальний парниковий ефект. Книга 2. Вразливість і адаптація екологічних та економічних систем до зміни клімату /За ред. В.В. Васильченка, М.В. Рапцуна, І.В. Трофимової – Київ: 1998. – 208 с.
- Jacob, D., B.JJ.M. Van den Hurk, U. Andre, G. Elgered, C. Fortelius, L.P. Graham, S.D. Jackson, U. Karstens, Chr. Kopken, R. Lindau, R. Podzun, B. Rockel, F. Rubel, B.H. Sass, R.N.B. Smith, X. Yang: A comprehensive model inter-comparison study investigating the water budget during the BALTEX-PIDCAP period. //Meteor. Atm., 2001. – No. 77. – P.61-73.
- Roeckner, E., K. Arpe, L. Bengtsson, M. Cristoph, M. Claussen, L. Dumenil, M. Esch, U. Schlese, U. Schulzweida. The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM4: Model description and simulation of present-day climate // Max-Planck-Institute fur Meteorologie, Report.– 1996. – No. 218.
They are estimated the change of agro climatic resources in the Ukrainian part of the Danube Delta sub-basin in 2011-2030 years and 2030 – 2050 years due to climate change, in a compared with the base period 1986 – 2005 years. For the assessment of climate change in Ukraine A1B scenario, the regional climate model MPI-M-REMO, a global model – CHAM5-r3 have been used. The evaluation of the heat and humidity of the growing season, and evaluation of the changes of agro-climatic conditions of winter wheat in relation to climate change has been done.
- Агрокліматичний довідник по Одеській області (1986 – 2005 рр.). – Одеса: 2012. – 215 с.
- Краковская С.В., Паламарчук Л.В., Дюкель Г.А. Региональная модель (РЕМО) в изучении сильных осадков в Карпатах. //Міжрегіональний збірник Метеорологія, кліматологія та гідрологія. – 2008. – № 50. – С. 75-80.
- Краковська С.В., Паламарчук Л.В., Шедеменко І.П., Дюкель Г.О., Гнатюк Н.В. Верифікація даних світового кліматичного центру (CRU) та регіональної моделі клімату (RЕМО) щодо прогнозу приземної температури повітря за контрольний період 1961-1990 рр. //Наук. праці УкрНДГМІ. –2008. – № 257. – С. 42-60.
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- Полевой А.Н. Моделирование фотосинтеза зеленого листа у растений типа С3 и С4 при изменении концентрации СО2 в атмосфере. – //В сб.: Проблемы экологического мониторинга и моделирования экосистем. – М.:ИГКЭ. – 2010. – Том XXIII – С. 297-315.
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- Jacob, D., B.JJ.M. Van den Hurk, U. Andre, G. Elgered, C. Fortelius, L.P. Graham, S.D. Jackson, U. Karstens, Chr. Kopken, R. Lindau, R. Podzun, B. Rockel, F. Rubel, B.H. Sass, R.N.B. Smith, X. Yang: A comprehensive model intercomparison study investigating the water budget during the BALTEX-PIDCAP period. //Meteor. Atm., 2001. – No. 77. – P.61-73.
- Nakićenović, N., and R. Swart (eds.), 2000: Special Report on Emissions Scenarios. A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, US – 599 pp.
- Roeckner, E., K. Arpe, L. Bengtsson, M. Cristoph, M. Claussen, L. Dumenil, M. Esch, U. Schlese, U. Schulzweida. The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM4: Model description and simulation of present-day climate // Max-Planck-Institute fur Meteorologie, Report.– 1996. – No. 218.
Based on analysis of observational materials of 175 meteorological stations of Ukraine by comparing the average long-term characteristics of weather and agrometeorological indicators of temperature it were identified trends of changes for the period from 1890 to 2030 -2040 ys.
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- Гончарова Л.Д., Решетченко С.І. Зміни середньомісячної температури повітря впродовж другої половини ХХ століття на території лівобережної України.// Вісник ОДЕКУ. – 2009. – Вип.8. –С.79-89.