Application probability of methods for an estimation of ecological danger of a high level of pollution of an atmosphere

Authors: Stepanenko S., Voloshin V.

Year: 2006

Issue: 01

Pages: 14-22

Abstract

The method of calculation of meteorological potential of pollution of an atmosphere is developed on the basis of theorem Bayes. The estimation of potential can be made or according to standard meteorological supervision, or according to the climatic information. The forecasting model of ecological risk is suitable for practical calculations. The model can be used as formal base for all-round studying and comparative estimations of ecological risks.

Tags: meteorological potential of pollution; model of ecological risk; theorem Bayes

Bibliography

  1. Безуглая Э.Ю. Метеорологический потенциал и климатические особенности загрязнения воздуха городов. – Л.: Гидрометеоиздат, 1980.-184 с.
  2. Берлянд М.Е. Прогноз и регулирование загрязнения атмосферы. – Л.: Гидрометеоиздат. 1985.- 272 с.
  3. Kisselev V.B., Kouznetsov V.N., Miljaev V.B. (1999). A comparison of mesoscale pollution transport models with varying spatial. In: R. San Jose, ed. Measuring and Modelling Investigation of Environmental (Vol 2). Southampton: Computational Mechanics Publications, pp. 187-204.
  4. Сонькин Л.Р. Синоптико-статистический анализ и краткосрочный прогноз загрязнения атмосферы.-Л.: Гидрометеоидат, 1991.-224 с.
  5. Корн Г., Корн Т. Справочник по математике (определения, формулы, теоремы). – Наука, М., 1973
Download full text (PDF)