Forecast verification of monthly temperature from ENSEMBLES models

Authors: Khokhlov V.N., Mospan N.O.

Year: 2012

Issue: 11

Pages: 93-100


The forecasts of regional climatic models results were verified with the monthly mean temperatures observed at the Ukrainian sites (Odessa, Poltava, Vinnytsia, Simferopol for 1961-2010; Zaporizhzhia, Sumy, Rivne for 1973- 2010). The skill of the models was determined; e.g. for the Odessa, best result was provided by the RACMO ECHAM5-r3 model (KNMI, Netherlands). The model result is conditioned the ability of regional model to reproduce some atmospheric processes as well as the input data

Tags: estimation of reliability; forecast verification; prediction model; scatter plot


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